> it's not entirely unreasonable to say "hey these two might be related" until new evidence and computer modeling is done. No it's not. But in practice that s

> it's not entirely unreasonable to say "hey these two might be related" until new evidence and computer modeling is done. No it's not. But in practice that sort of relation seems to have about a 10% chance of being an actual casual relationship. > Regardless of how fuzzy the evidence is, saying that any given weather event is "caused by climate change" is still a safe bet. When there is fuzzy evidence that X causes Y it is not safe to say "X causes Y" and I'm not willing to concede an exception to this when X = climate change.