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It depends what you think the goal is, AGI or making a ton of money. OpenAI doesn't seem that close to AGI. But in terms of value creation they have turned num
by Rastonbury 3y ago
It depends what you think the goal is, AGI or making a ton of money. OpenAI doesn't seem that close to AGI.
But in terms of value creation they have turned numerous industries and jobs on their head. Things like copywriting or how they are destroying stackoverflow and quora. The next lowest fruit they are disrupting is front line chat/email support - this is usually never part of a core product but the market is massive, almost every company needs support - look at Zendesk or imagine the costs of Uber's offshore support army.
They are going for the AWS platform approach - every niche GPT wrapper that gets a modicum of success and has happy paying users, these users likely are likely to stick because it improves their work in obvious ways. OpenAI gets their slice, think of how AWS made it easy for anyone to spin up a service, sure some failed but the hurdle is much lower - with such a powerful general model, I don't need to spend millions training my own to launch. The issue for them is it'll likely be less sticky if competitors/open source models catch up - hasn't happened yet but it might.
I've never seen such disruption to ways of working in so many industries in my lifetime. If you're on HN you may not see any use in your work if specialised, but at the entry level (majority of workers), doing writing work in 30% of the time has been game changing.
- BoorishBears 3y agoTo me the simplest analog is Amazon Prime. Bezos wants Prime to be something you can't afford to skip by having it deliver overwhelming value, and to that end they've done pretty well: 70% of Americans have Prime. But since software scales so ridiculously well, that their cloud offering still manages to beat it on profit. OpenAI had just landed a new class of subscription that scales like AWS, has B2B hooks like AWS, can be the engine behind entire classes of future unicorns like AWS... but then also has widespread consumer value and brand recognition like Prime. By that measure it's hard not to be bullish.