4 ms·
> Would I like an electric car? Probably, but the economics don’t work for us. 15 years ago I estimated gas would need to be above $5/gallon for years to justif
by tzs 3y ago
> Would I like an electric car? Probably, but the economics don’t work for us. 15 years ago I estimated gas would need to be above $5/gallon for years to justify the cost of a hybrid, let alone a full EV. We got close to that in the last year, but now fuel is back around $3.50 and once again the economics don’t work.
How much is electricity there?
A few months ago I did the math [1] for all US states and DC comparing a Chevy Bolt charged at home via a normal residential circuit at 8 A to a Kia Forte driven on the highway (39 mpg).
My result was that the Bolt would cost less per mile in electricity than a Forte would in gas if G/E > 9.4, where G is the cost of gas in dollars/gallon and E is the cost of electricity in dollars/kWh.
If gas is $3/gallon, the Bolt would win if electricity is less than $0.319/kWh. If gas gets down to $2/gallon, Bolt wins in places where electricity is less than $21.3/kWh.
Going the other way, here's a table of how low gas has to be for the Forte to win for a given cost of electricity:
E Max G for Forte to win
$0.15 $1.41
$0.20 $1.88
$0.25 $2.35
$0.30 $2.82
$0.35 $3.29
$0.40 $3.76
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36978950 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36978950
- jonhohle 3y agoThe economics have certainly changed since we last looked (early 2010s). Not enough for me to sell my working cars, however.