The overwhelming consensus, confirmed by polling and several byelections held while he was in office, is that the Tories will be resoundingly beaten at the nex

The overwhelming consensus, confirmed by polling and several byelections held while he was in office, is that the Tories will be resoundingly beaten at the next General Election. They probably won't become the third party (that would be something for the history books - I don't think it has happened for 150 years or so), but they won't produce a Prime Minister. At this point it's basically a self-fulfilling prophecy.