Considering the average age of the car fleet in the US and Europe is around 12 years - that seems like a decent estimate. Obviously there are many cars older t

Considering the average age of the car fleet in the US and Europe is around 12 years - that seems like a decent estimate. Obviously there are many cars older than 12 years old on the road, but 80-90% of cars switching to electric within 10-15 years is not unrealistic if new sales are already 17% (and growing).