5 ms·

I’m willing to bet that in a decade there will be a Twitter alternative more mainstream relevant than Twitter.

• bruceb 3y ago
  How much and how would you measure which is bigger and in what parameters? I would put $250 on Twitter side.
• johnnyanmac 3y ago
  Interesting. I'm not optimistic but I also wouldn't take that bet. On one hand I don't think Twitter was ever profitable, so there's not much inventive to compete. But on the other hand, I don't think even Twitter can survive a decade of implosion. Bluesky may not be as big in 2030 as Twitter was at its peak, but if Twitter is legitimately dead it doesn't matter. My cynical take is that microblogging also becomes a niche and "content creation" on Instagram/TikTok et. All takes over as refugees retrofit a different medium entirely to what they desire to do.
• usrusr 3y ago
  More mainstream relevant than Twitter will be in a decade? Seems inevitable. Even remotely as mainstream relevant as Twitter was in its heyday? I don't expect that to repeat, ever.
• empiricus 3y ago
  quite possible, but it would not be correlated with how good twitter is. just a consequence of random changes in the zeitgeist.
• cfr2023 3y ago
  Late to reply, but I sure hope so, and appreciate your open optimism on the subject.