3 ms·
The singularity is near is a great book. Hilarious that you read that for the second time and then got out and saw chat gpt! I love kurzweil but his estimates
by freedomben 3y ago
The singularity is near is a great book. Hilarious that you read that for the second time and then got out and saw chat gpt!
I love kurzweil but his estimates of timeline are often pretty over optimistic, so I'd be really wondering.
- cubefox 3y agoOn Metaculus the arrival for weakly general AI was predicted for 2045 two years ago. Now it's at 2026. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general...
- qingcharles 3y agoI would concur with those dates now. When I read the book the first time about three years ago I thought "2045" is about right. When I saw DALL-E 2 I thought "2030". When I saw GPT4 I thought "2026".