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Few things to consider: 1. The rockets and drones are supplied to Yemen by Iran. Which also supplies rockets and drones to Russia. 2. Russia wasn’t really wha

by brap 3y ago

Few things to consider: 1. The rockets and drones are supplied to Yemen by Iran. Which also supplies rockets and drones to Russia. 2. Russia wasn’t really what it was claiming to be, and it certainly isn’t anymore. 3. Russia is (in theory) fighting against the Ukranian military, so they need precision. Yemen doesn’t care about that, they just want to bomb Israeli cities. Cheap is fine. 4. The magnitude of the conflict is vastly different. Ukraine is about x40 the size of Israel, and this war has been going on for x20 the duration.

AnimalMuppet 3y ago
Re 1: Supplied? I thought that Iran was supplying a huge dose of technical assistance, but not actual missiles because of blockade/interdiction issues.
- xenospn 3y ago
  I doubt Yemeni rebels are able to source and build ICBMs. They most likely get the missiles ready for launch.
  - aaomidi 3y ago
    The “rebels” are effectively the state of Yemen.
    - xenospn 3y ago
      Same sentiment still holds.
  - dragonwriter 3y ago
    They are MRBMs, not ICBMs.
wolverine876 3y ago
> they need precision. Yemen doesn’t care about that, they just want to bomb Israeli cities. Wouldn't reliably hitting a city from that distance require precision? I think the Houthi forces just want to look like they are doing something. No matter what, they are not going affect the war.
- InitialLastName 3y ago
  Bret Devereaux had an interesting analysis of this effect[0], mostly in relation to Hezbollah (but also pertaining to the other Israel-oppositional militant groups in the region): They have to walk a balance of looking like they are involving themselves (to keep their supporters happy) but not committing themselves (so that they don't get directly targeted by a very well-funded opponent). They very much want to be the chicken in the ham-and-egg sandwich. To the direct point, hitting a city from 1000 miles away would demand quite a lot of precision (to be clear, this article at least doesn't say they were on target, but even hitting Israeli territory from Yemen is on par with hitting New Jersey from Cuba). On the other hand, Russia is targeting specific installations and infrastructure, which is an entirely different feat. [0] https://acoup.blog/2023/10/27/fireside-friday-october-27-2023-on-politics-in-strategy/ https://acoup.blog/2023/10/27/fireside-friday-october-27-202...

by brap 3y ago

AnimalMuppet 3y ago

Re 1: Supplied? I thought that Iran was supplying a huge dose of technical assistance, but not actual missiles because of blockade/interdiction issues.

xenospn 3y ago
I doubt Yemeni rebels are able to source and build ICBMs. They most likely get the missiles ready for launch.
- aaomidi 3y ago
  The “rebels” are effectively the state of Yemen.
  - xenospn 3y ago
    Same sentiment still holds.
- dragonwriter 3y ago
  They are MRBMs, not ICBMs.

wolverine876 3y ago

> they need precision. Yemen doesn’t care about that, they just want to bomb Israeli cities. Wouldn't reliably hitting a city from that distance require precision? I think the Houthi forces just want to look like they are doing something. No matter what, they are not going affect the war.

InitialLastName 3y ago
Bret Devereaux had an interesting analysis of this effect[0], mostly in relation to Hezbollah (but also pertaining to the other Israel-oppositional militant groups in the region): They have to walk a balance of looking like they are involving themselves (to keep their supporters happy) but not committing themselves (so that they don't get directly targeted by a very well-funded opponent). They very much want to be the chicken in the ham-and-egg sandwich. To the direct point, hitting a city from 1000 miles away would demand quite a lot of precision (to be clear, this article at least doesn't say they were on target, but even hitting Israeli territory from Yemen is on par with hitting New Jersey from Cuba). On the other hand, Russia is targeting specific installations and infrastructure, which is an entirely different feat. [0] https://acoup.blog/2023/10/27/fireside-friday-october-27-2023-on-politics-in-strategy/ https://acoup.blog/2023/10/27/fireside-friday-october-27-202...