5 ms·
> We predict that AI 2.0 will create a platform opportunity ten times larger than the mobile internet, rewriting all software and user interfaces. I was a bit
by Conscat 3y ago
> We predict that AI 2.0 will create a platform opportunity ten times larger than the mobile internet, rewriting all software and user interfaces.
I was a bit interested until I read this. If this claim is to be believed, then the company appears to be entirely out of touch with reality, and it makes claims like outperforming llama-70b seem even more incredulous.
- throwaway4736 3y agoMatt Levine once described this very well, although he did it when referring to Adam Neumann and WeWork. I’m paraphrasing, but there are a subset of people who are able to consistently and accurately to great success exploit a bubble in the VC world, by dint of exactly knowing what to say and of being able to get the meeting in the first place. Lee being able to credibly sell bullshit like the quoted claim is a feature, not a bug. It’s somewhat irrelevant if he actually believes it.
- textcortex 3y agoYep, agreed. Also somehow this AI 2.0 thing he is mentioning reminds me of web 3.0 bs. Baseless and delusional.
- upupupandaway 3y agoAt first I was angry about these grifters because they suck opportunities out of the market, leaving legitimate startups behind. But knowing what I know now, that VCs are also grifters (looking at a16z and its pump and dump crypto win) I have started rooting for the "bad guys". So may Lee attract all VC money in the world to promptly set it on fire like Adam did.
- DevX101 3y agoCurious, what was the a16z crypto dump play? I saw them pump for a few years, until the market tanked.
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- jstummbillig 3y agoWhat do you find offence with? Hip speech and yawn-2.0-s aside, I find the claim entirely defendable, given, of course, a certain set of assumptions in this very new and uncertain space.
- upupupandaway 3y agoHow is it defendable? How do you defend 10x? What about 11x? Why not 3.5x? This is complete bullshit.
- jstummbillig 3y ago> How is it defendable? How do you defend 10x? Uncertainty. Given incomplete information it is common practice to make assumptions about things to give us some starting point from which to act. In this context a round integer value pretty much implies: They are estimating, and they might be completely off. I guess you could say, "Instead of making assumptions with uncertainty, let's not assume anything", but that makes progress in new and uncertain areas really hard.
- Barrin92 3y agoIt's a common and bad practice because quantitative language belongs in the domain of risk, not uncertainty. Two very different things. Risk is the world of stationary laws and empirical data. Fluid markets, mortality stats, that kind of thing. The "10x AI productivity boost" is about as real as the "10x engineer", that's to say, the PR department made it up. It's just vibes, but it's a symptom of a culture that unduly reveres anything that sounds "mathy".
- YetAnotherNick 3y agoI think it's pedantic argument. Obviously he meant that his bet is the future is something and willing to work for it. No need to scratch your head. 10x is not maths 10x and no one thinks it is literally 10.0x.
- 3y ago
- T-A 3y agoKai-Fu Lee is (among other things) a SciFi author. Check out "AI 2041" to see what he has in mind: https://www.space.com/artificial-intelligence-anthology-book-interview-excerpt https://www.space.com/artificial-intelligence-anthology-book...
- mlazos 3y agoThe writing in that book was atrocious, I’d much rather read I, Robot for an all around better and thought provoking experience.
- m3kw9 3y agoIf they were serious they would have a specific number rather than exactly 10. This is for investment attraction