3 ms·
> the projection of overall energy demand to shrink from 2900 TWh to 900 TWh over the next 27 years To be clear, today's demand isn't 2900 TWh. It's 1599 TWh.
by nl 3y ago
> the projection of overall energy demand to shrink from 2900 TWh to 900 TWh over the next 27 years
To be clear, today's demand isn't 2900 TWh. It's 1599 TWh. And none of the people claiming Britain can be powered via renewable power are using the 900 TWh figure.
Just noting for people who haven't read the article because this comment wasn't clear to me:
Today's demand: 1599 TWh
UK’s Department for Industrial Strategy forecast demand for 2050: 1250 TWh
UK National Grid FES forecast demand for 2050: 900 TWh
MacKay’s forecast demand for 2050: 2900 TWh (I think this is what this comment is referring to)
MacKay’s 2008 forecast renewable production for 2050: 1500 TWh
O’Callaghan (new, 2023 report) forecast demand for 2050: 1500 TWh
O’Callaghan (new, 2023 report) forecast renewable production for 2050: 2895 TWh
The difference is mostly about pricing of renewables radically dropping since 2008, and the likelihood of floating offshore wind producing large amounts of supply.
[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/322874/electricity-consumption-from-all-electricity-suppliers-in-the-united-kingdom/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/322874/electricity-consu...