4 ms·

I don’t think we’re close, not even within 50 years of real AGI. Which may or may not decide to wipe us out. However, even given the current state of “AI”, I t

I don’t think we’re close, not even within 50 years of real AGI. Which may or may not decide to wipe us out. However, even given the current state of “AI”, I think there are countless dangers and risks. The ability to fabricate audio and video that’s indistinguishable from the real thing can absolutely wreck havoc on society. Even just the transition of spam and phishing from poorly worded blasts with grammatical errors to very eloquent and specific messages will exponentially increase the effectiveness of attacks. LLM generated content which is a mix of fact and fantasy will soon far outweigh all the written and spoken content created by humans in all of history. That’s going to put humans in a place we’ve never been. Current “AI” is a tool that can allow a layman to very quickly build all sorts of weapons to be used to meet their ends. It’s scary because “AI” is a very powerful tool that individuals and states will weaponize and turn against their enemies. It will be nice to finally have a good spellchecker though.

recursive 3y ago
> The ability to fabricate audio and video that’s indistinguishable from the real thing can absolutely wreck havoc on society. Only for as long people hold on to the idea that videos are reliable. Video is a medium. It will become as reliable as text. The existence of text, and specifically lies, has not wrecked society.
- ben_w 3y ago
  Lots of people have fought and died in wars over the belief that a book was the literal Word of God, and some of those wars lasted a lifetime.
  - recursive 3y ago
    In the future we can do that with videos. But it won't be anything new.
    - ben_w 3y ago
      I'm not disputing that, I'm saying there's precedent to expect it will wreck societies.
      - berniedurfee 3y ago
        Also, I do think video is _much_ more powerful than the written word. Literacy is not required. Watching video is far more engaging and entrancing than reading books to most people. Video can be broadcast and consumed by huge numbers of people _much_ faster than written text. Unless someone is reading text out loud, the people around them aren't influenced. In court, especially the court of public opinion, video is currently infallible.
kylebenzle 3y ago
100 years ago anyone could write a book and put someone else's name as the author. So we can't trust video or audio of famous people anymore, again what is the fear?

recursive 3y ago

> The ability to fabricate audio and video that’s indistinguishable from the real thing can absolutely wreck havoc on society. Only for as long people hold on to the idea that videos are reliable. Video is a medium. It will become as reliable as text. The existence of text, and specifically lies, has not wrecked society.

ben_w 3y ago
Lots of people have fought and died in wars over the belief that a book was the literal Word of God, and some of those wars lasted a lifetime.
- recursive 3y ago
  In the future we can do that with videos. But it won't be anything new.
  - ben_w 3y ago
    I'm not disputing that, I'm saying there's precedent to expect it will wreck societies.
    - berniedurfee 3y ago
      Also, I do think video is _much_ more powerful than the written word. Literacy is not required. Watching video is far more engaging and entrancing than reading books to most people. Video can be broadcast and consumed by huge numbers of people _much_ faster than written text. Unless someone is reading text out loud, the people around them aren't influenced. In court, especially the court of public opinion, video is currently infallible.

kylebenzle 3y ago

100 years ago anyone could write a book and put someone else's name as the author. So we can't trust video or audio of famous people anymore, again what is the fear?