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https://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2017/09/in_technology_everything_is_always_five_to_10_years_away.html https://www.slate.com/articles/tech
by eddtries 3y ago
https://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2017/09/in_technology_everything_is_always_five_to_10_years_away.html https://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2017/...
> Slate has noticed a wily hedging mechanism among Silicon Valley soothsayers to circumvent these uncertainties—make predictions for “five to 10 years out.” It hits that sweet spot: just close enough that people can begin to taste it, but just far enough away that (almost) no one is going to call you out if it doesn’t become true. A review of press releases and tech articles stretching back to the 1990s finds that these Goldilocks forecasts are abundant. We’ve compiled a list of 81 predictions for innovations coming in “five to 10 years” to illustrate the cliché.
- the-dude 3y agoEinstein, bomb, 1939 : https://www.osti.gov/opennet/manhattan-project-history/Events/1939-1942/einstein_letter.htm https://www.osti.gov/opennet/manhattan-project-history/Event...
- mopierotti 3y agoCould you elaborate on what you mean by this?
- the-dude 3y agoKennedy, moon, 1962 : https://www.jfklibrary.org/learn/about-jfk/historic-speeches/address-at-rice-university-on-the-nations-space-effort https://www.jfklibrary.org/learn/about-jfk/historic-speeches...
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- VHRanger 3y agoFSD is coming out next year, every year since 2016 (tm)