> Also being a good programmer is not the same as being good at running a startup. But being able to predict the future of the business is necessary to determi

> Also being a good programmer is not the same as being good at running a startup. But being able to predict the future of the business is necessary to determine where to optimize. Again, if you have no users, you don't need to optimize at all –period. The success rate should be 100%, as those who predict what to optimize will know when not to go into business. If you get it wrong, you haven't predicted anything. You were guessing.