Sorry, I didn't mean to say that the tools were 100% useless broadly speaking. In this specific event, they were. The chart says it all: https://theeyewall.com/

Sorry, I didn't mean to say that the tools were 100% useless broadly speaking. In this specific event, they were. The chart says it all: https://theeyewall.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/102623-intensity-of-Otis.jpg https://theeyewall.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/102623-int... That's nine different prediction models, of which zero predicted anything resembling reality. Sure, there was less data available than in other areas. Sure, there was less ground radar. Sure, fewer eye flights were made. But there have been other storms with a similar dearth of data; never before have all predictive models been so very wrong.