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I know this sounds terrible, so please understand I don't agree with this approach, but. I've had the thought that third world countries will end up being the
by joncrane 3y ago
I know this sounds terrible, so please understand I don't agree with this approach, but.
I've had the thought that third world countries will end up being the testing ground for autonomous vehicles. Peoples' safety isn't taken as seriously in developing countries, and the local authorities are easier to bribe.
The cost for actually functioning autonomous vehicles will be some mistakes. It's up to society to decide whether the ultimate value is worth those accidents. The modern world has a history of offloading certain types of hazards (such as hazardous waste, dangerous factory conditions, etc) to the third world and I see this as another use case for that pattern.
Edit: damn, guess people don't like unpleasant truths. Downvotes aren't supposed to be a disagreement button!
- theonlybutlet 3y agoThe road conditions are not ideal though, poor road markings, road conditions, other drivers not following the rules of the road. Hardly a place to test cars.
- djoldman 3y agoCounter take is that it's the perfect environment from a learning perspective: if you succeed there, you can succeed in easier conditions.
- joncrane 3y agoI agree. The hard part of autonomous driving is when people and things behave unpredictably and there aren't many context clues. However, as someone who regularly visits and drives in a 3rd world country, there's a "vibe" to it if you will, and once you learn the vibe it becomes natural. (It seems to be that people respect the laws of physics over the laws of the land, if you will) If you train the cars on a 3rd world country's driving patterns, further refinement will be necessary to fit in better in a more developed country. But early on it will deal with stuff like driving on a road with no lines at the edges or between lanes, one lane bridges, sharing the road with pedestrians, cyclists, motorcyclists, and animals, etc.
- theonlybutlet 3y agoAbsolutely, when they need to test on hard-mode.
- Etheryte 3y agoNot really, hectic traffic and nonexistent roads aren't a superset of organized traffic and good roads. If you take a human driver from a country with hectic traffic and put them in one with organized traffic they'll struggle and vice versa, the same would hold here. Being skilled in one doesn't really help you out in the other.
- djoldman 3y agoThey're both a superset of the problem space: safely navigate from A to B. And broadly speaking, with more varied training data you can achieve better out of sample results.
- edgyquant 3y agoThis sounds like your opinion and doesn’t seem accurate to me at all.
- leoedin 3y agoI think the parent is right. Every country has different traffic laws anyway - but driving in a developing country is often fundamentally different. In Vietnam the effective priority of vehicles is "biggest first". A neural net trained in that environment won't be very useful in the UK, where priority is defined by road markings and street signs.
- slibhb 3y agoCompanies are already testing self-driving cars in SF, Phoenix, and LA. So much for this theory.
- joncrane 3y agoYes, and the article to which we're replying is a story about political pressure to STOP that testing.
- srackey 3y agoI fear it will end up more like nuclear energy: a clearly better, objectively safer technology that nevertheless is very easy to fear-monger against. Development won’t be pushed to the Third World, but rather those political systems less susceptible to being swayed by nonsense public pressure like that.
- 4k3aa4 3y agoI feel like nuclear energy is a bad example, because when it goes wrong it's "one big scary thing" as opposed to the papercuts that would add up with dangerous robotaxis. Also the benchmark for car danger is already so incredible low. You can see in this thread the argument that "cars are already killing people, so we as a society just have to decide how many it's ok to have die while we figure out to make them work." As far as "objectively safer" - not sure how that works (or matters). Since when has safety actually mattered in terms of public opinion? If safety mattered we wouldn't have cars on city streets at all, all last mile would be slow & public and we'd have built our towns & cities to support that.
- Etheryte 3y agoI'm not sure this holds up to scrutiny. So far we have numerous companies testing autonomous vehicles in the states and personally I don't know any that test in developing countries.
- joncrane 3y agoI'm not saying it's happening now, but a shift might occur. You're correct when you say >we have numerous companies testing autonomous vehicles in the states The article we are responding is is about increasing political pressure against that practice.
- micromacrofoot 3y agothanks for sharing that messed up thought with us I guess