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> 40,000 deaths in the United States every year. Hundreds of thousands of costly accidents Somehow, after a decade of hype, it doesn’t seem like driverless car
by comte7092 3y ago
> 40,000 deaths in the United States every year. Hundreds of thousands of costly accidents
Somehow, after a decade of hype, it doesn’t seem like driverless cars are the most direct path to solving that problem.
> Let’s start by having trains take you to the airport directly
I feel like that exists in a lot of places? Not sure what you mean.
- DeIlliad 3y agoI think "a lot of places" is doing some heavy lifting. There are a few cities in the US that have a train that connects to the airport but not many.
- comte7092 3y agoI mean there aren’t that many cities with major airports either.
- coldtea 3y agoWho said "major airports"?
- comte7092 3y agoJust made the assumption, because why do you need a train to a non major airport when a bus will do. If your city doesn’t host a large airport, then it probably doesn’t make sense to have a train system either. And I’m quite confident there’s a bus to the airport in just about any city that has one.
- adrr 3y agoDriverless cars are significantly safer than human drivers. https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2309/2309.01206.pdf https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2309/2309.01206.pdf
- defrost 3y ago"So far" With less than 4 million miles of pure rider only data by relatively early Waymo rollouts in two cities it can be argued there's room for the claims per million miles to climb as the number of deployments rise.
- kilobite88 3y agoDoes it not drive the same roads as human drivers? 4 million miles = 4 million miles.
- comte7092 3y ago> Does it not drive the same roads as human drivers? No, human drivers drive on roads beyond selected neighborhoods of Phoenix and San Francisco. It is unknown how generalizable the results of the study would be beyond the conditions experienced on the roads in the areas Waymo had been deployed in. We might see significantly improved safety or we might not. But given the messaging from Waymo, the presumption would seem to be that performance would be worse in other areas/conditions.
- adrr 3y agoAre there more accidents on these roads?
- comte7092 3y agoI am not really sure what your question is asking. More accidents on what roads? If you’re talking about the 99% of roads in the country where Waymo doesn’t currently operate, then I can’t really take your question seriously. We are talking about relative performance of an automated system vs human drivers. The automated system has been specifically tuned to perform well on a certain set of roads. The point is that there is no reason to assume by default that the system would maintain good relative performance under a drastically different set of conditions.
- 3y ago