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No one, not even the creators of GPT-4, predicted that it would score well enough on the Bar Exam to get into a good law school if it were a person. They didn't
by hollerith 3y ago
No one, not even the creators of GPT-4, predicted that it would score well enough on the Bar Exam to get into a good law school if it were a person. They didn't have a clue. It was, "Let's build it and see what happens."
And when some lab somewhere starts up the AI that is going to kill us all, they're probably not even going to consider that outcome to be in the set of possibilities.
But yeah, AI researchers know their subject well enough that it wasn't just an accident that GPT-4 turned out more capable than any language model that had come before, and I'm sure AI researchers will continue to find ways to make AIs more capable, more powerful.