2 ms·
> One effect of this is that stocks historically average about 8% a year. And stocks in rising interest rates environment only average 6.4% a year, not 8%. Her
by TacticalCoder 3y ago
> One effect of this is that stocks historically average about 8% a year.
And stocks in rising interest rates environment only average 6.4% a year, not 8%. Here's a study over 13 periods where interest rates rose in the US since 1962 to 2020:
https://www.lpl.com/newsroom/read/weekly-market-commentary-rising-rates-stock-market-performance.html https://www.lpl.com/newsroom/read/weekly-market-commentary-r...
So, indeed, many are now simply doing this: selling (or pausing their buy/DCA) stocks and taking the guaranteed yield.
I typically considered USD/EUR toilet paper but at 5.6% short term I'm now putting some of my money in short term treasuries. And I'm DCA'ing the proceed into stocks.
> This will probably drive the market down much further than it has in 2022.
I remember my family (in the EU) getting 13%+ interest rates on government bonds when I was a kid.
We're "only" at 5.6%: rates have and could again go much higher.