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AI is a distraction. The argument to made like this is already everywhere understood and almost nowhere addressed: that specialization and localization and gl
by aaroninsf 3y ago
AI is a distraction.
The argument to made like this is already everywhere understood and almost nowhere addressed: that specialization and localization and globalization reliant on various preconditions, has created an incomprehensible web of dependencies which regularly, belatedly, turn out to be points of failure which cause cascading disequilibrium.
Maintaining a tribal-level small community, and some loose federation across a set of those communities? 20K years of adaptable stability.
Empire-level governance on the scale of contemporary empires (the US and China specifically) is proving almost impossible to maintain; the stressors from contemporary technologies regularly outmatch their benefits wrt operational stability. We can't solve federation for a Twitter clone; why do we think we can solve it at the nation state level? Every indication is that this is proving the US was not capable of scaling 10x or beyond without a refactor.
Modernity rests on an evolved rather than designed chaos of systems few of which are load-bearing within their originally conceived limits, and those which were so conceived are themselves single points of failure (again: Twitter. But also? Amazon, SpaceX, Walmart, UPS...)