Haven’t read the full article, but I note with interest that this is by Peter Turchin, the same person who wrote Secular Cycles. I haven’t read it myself, but I

Haven’t read the full article, but I note with interest that this is by Peter Turchin, the same person who wrote Secular Cycles. I haven’t read it myself, but I’ve always liked Scott Alexander’s review of that book [0] and its sequel [1]. In particular, Turchin predicted in 2016, that 2020 would form the peak of social conflict in America. This strikes me as eerily close to what has actually happened… [0] https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/08/12/book-review-secular-cycles/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/08/12/book-review-secular-cy... [1] https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/02/book-review-ages-of-discord/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/09/02/book-review-ages-of-di...