Also, do you think that, in July 2020, that "most people [were] dramatically overestimating COVID-19 risk"? (As the comment I linked to stated.) On July 12 an

Also, do you think that, in July 2020, that "most people [were] dramatically overestimating COVID-19 risk"? (As the comment I linked to stated.) On July 12 and 13th, 2020, my uncle emailed me, "For what it’s worth, I predict the COVID-19 death toll in the next 30 months will be 2.5-3 million Americans." I emailed him "I don't know what to predict.... By 2023, I'll go with 300,000." I'm pretty certain that my 300,000 Americans by 2023 was dramatically higher than what most people were estimating. And I was low. And at that point, July 2020, I was just barely beginning to be concerned about long-term health impacts of those who survive COVID.