Which comes first? People start to have ideas that the city living isn't working out for them because they don't like X, Y, and Z and once they move, they reali

Which comes first? People start to have ideas that the city living isn't working out for them because they don't like X, Y, and Z and once they move, they realize that means they are now more red than a decade ago? Or blue-no-matter-who Democrats move to a rural area and then change their beliefs? I suspect it's more the former than the latter (you move after your beliefs change more than before).