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If anyone’s interested, I have a model developed that shows exactly which counties people would have to populate, which ones to ignore completely, while maintai

If anyone’s interested, I have a model developed that shows exactly which counties people would have to populate, which ones to ignore completely, while maintaining balance in the democrat areas for me, this is a non-partisan observation population wise, the republican party simply does not have the numbers to do the same. there are very few deeply red or blue counties, but uniquely the deeply red ones are sparsely populated. so most red counties can be swung with a tiny population change to push over 50%, or can be swung by a tiny population moving there. I made the model because I was surprised some super pac or some other well funded interest group didn't already do a relocation program like this I’ll contract it out to super pacs and campaigns, and those interested. I did it in 2022 and it was too late for the midterms but its time now for the national elections

ars 3y ago
You forgot to take into account that people willing to move to rural locations are also more likely to change parties after they move. i.e. you neglected second order effects.
- yieldcrv 3y ago
  I didn't neglect that, I didn't write it I think it is very interesting to wonder how effective this would be there are many circumstances where it becomes more apparent that a party isnt representing interests relevant to that area once someone is there, especially since some places would require residency for 7-8 months before being eligible to vote there I don't care about the outcome, I navigate a lot of countries, but I’ll sell things to partisans, they’re very emotional and deeply invested in the outcome
- PaulHoule 3y ago
  Some people move because they think they'll find a place that better matches their politics.
justinzollars 3y ago
There is actually a great Youtube channel on this very topic! Colorado used to be a very nice place. When I visited in 2008 it was idyllic. Then it flipped blue and with it came all the blue problems. Homelessness, Drug addiction, depression, high cost of living, and a general sense of malaise. When I visited Colorado again in 2021 it was unrecognizable. So yes. You will flip the whole country. https://youtu.be/U-nKgfbCXHo?si=XCXROzd8JLwWZ0kv https://youtu.be/U-nKgfbCXHo?si=XCXROzd8JLwWZ0kv

ars 3y ago

You forgot to take into account that people willing to move to rural locations are also more likely to change parties after they move. i.e. you neglected second order effects.

yieldcrv 3y ago
I didn't neglect that, I didn't write it I think it is very interesting to wonder how effective this would be there are many circumstances where it becomes more apparent that a party isnt representing interests relevant to that area once someone is there, especially since some places would require residency for 7-8 months before being eligible to vote there I don't care about the outcome, I navigate a lot of countries, but I’ll sell things to partisans, they’re very emotional and deeply invested in the outcome
PaulHoule 3y ago
Some people move because they think they'll find a place that better matches their politics.

justinzollars 3y ago

There is actually a great Youtube channel on this very topic! Colorado used to be a very nice place. When I visited in 2008 it was idyllic. Then it flipped blue and with it came all the blue problems. Homelessness, Drug addiction, depression, high cost of living, and a general sense of malaise. When I visited Colorado again in 2021 it was unrecognizable. So yes. You will flip the whole country. https://youtu.be/U-nKgfbCXHo?si=XCXROzd8JLwWZ0kv https://youtu.be/U-nKgfbCXHo?si=XCXROzd8JLwWZ0kv