EV share on US roads is only about 5% (by VMT, i.e. if you stand on the corner and count cars). The median age of cars on the road is ~13 years. Market share fo

EV share on US roads is only about 5% (by VMT, i.e. if you stand on the corner and count cars). The median age of cars on the road is ~13 years. Market share for EVs is about 8% of new sales. You do the math, but for me it doesn't look like anywhere near 50% in America by 2030 unless they literally outlaw oil.