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> Truth is, if someone identifies a groundbreaking technique for timeseries forecasting It’s really quite simple. Just iterate through all possible monotone un
by Xcelerate 3y ago
> Truth is, if someone identifies a groundbreaking technique for timeseries forecasting
It’s really quite simple. Just iterate through all possible monotone universal Turing machines where the input tape consists of all data we can possibly collect concatenated with the time series of interest. Skip the programs that take too long to halt, keep the remaining ones that reproduce the input sequence, then form a probability distribution based on the next output bits, weighted by 2^-(program size).
What’s so hard about that?
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- justinjlynn 3y agoOh, just the death of the planet through waste heat buildup. That's all. Just a small matter of code should fix that.
- pyinstallwoes 3y agoJust like Bitcoin
- MrNeon 3y agoHow high is the waste heat of maintaining the value of fiat currency?
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- pyinstallwoes 3y agoNot higher than having to perpetually secure a network by computation; which taken to the extreme is essentially a sure-footed destination to causing a black hole by argument of having to use all available space for computational security and incentives.
- MrNeon 3y agoThat is... not how a blockchain works at all? Do explain what you mean by it requiring ALL space and ALL compute.
- pyinstallwoes 3y agoThat is how it works, precisely. You secure the network with compute. A computer requires physical space to run a computation. Thus maximizes towards using all physical space for incentives driven by network security. Are you telling me that there is not already physical evidence for such? I assure you there is plenty of evidence for physical space being assimilated by the incentive structures related to bitcoin and its progency. Taken across time to a civilization that grows into further complexity, there exists a limit into how much space can be used to secure the network, and most likely even incentivizes maximizing capture of space for computational security therefore it accelerates our civilization towards creating a black hole. I couldn't come up with a better way to fast-track our way towards a cosmic environmental disaster. It's a pretty bad incentive structure long-term. If only we could get rid of artificial scarcity.
- MrNeon 3y agoI want specifics, what is it about the Bitcoin blockchain you think requires ever increasing storage and compute. Specifically.
- pyinstallwoes 3y agoAre you technically competent? Have you read the whitepaper? It’s the fundamental theory of the paper. I am not sure how I can describe it better than the whitepaper itself, which necessarily depends on its substrate which is a substratum which provides compute which necessarily implies a concrete material in physicality. Thus, physical material acts as the mechanism for computation, which Bitcoin depends on for network security, incentivized by the value of the distributed nature of the network thus requiring an ever greater need for compute. Even in a world where computation doesn’t become more efficient it still takes up the total space available eventually due to the incentives of protecting against network failure.
- ganzuul 3y agoError: Fake news is prediction output returning to input.