Also importantly, there are no points for predicting a broad field, only points for being correct on specific things. There were a zillion "virtual mall" produ

Also importantly, there are no points for predicting a broad field, only points for being correct on specific things. There were a zillion "virtual mall" products in the early days of the internet. Exactly zero of them convinced anyone to buy stuff online. Amazon ended up cracking the formula and made billions doing it. The investors in the virtual malls lost their money. And people on the sidelines who predicted that we would all shop online are IMO only correct in the most meaningless and facile sense, because they had no specific predictions of what would work and what wouldn't, just a vague gesture at a futuristic buzzword. It's easy to wave generally in the direction of an abstract concept and say "that's a big deal", literally anyone can do it (and did! with crypto!), but it's specific predictions and hypotheses that separate those who know WTF they're talking about from LinkedIn thought-leadership pablum. Likewise "AI is a big deal" in and of itself is not an astute statement or meaningful prediction. What about it? What specifically can be leveraged from this technology that would appeal to users? What specific problems can you solve? What properties of this technology are most useful and what roadblocks remain in the way of mass success? pg coined the "middlebrow dismissal", I'd like to suggest a corollary: the middlebrow hype. All hot air without enough specificity to be worth anything. "The information superhighway will be huge!" is the 90s equivalent of "AI is the future". Ok. How?