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This is pretty funny. Anytime you throw a theoretically infinite payoff into the calculation it blows up immediately. It's like a religious argument. If this go
by kcpm 3y ago
This is pretty funny. Anytime you throw a theoretically infinite payoff into the calculation it blows up immediately. It's like a religious argument. If this god is real than everyone must worship them and achieve ultimate paradise.
Another comparison actually is the GameStop stocks phenomenon. At least some of them expected such high returns (in some cases nearly infinite), that it would be fiscally insane to invest in anything but GME.
- pdonis 3y ago> Anytime you throw a theoretically infinite payoff into the calculation it blows up immediately. The payoff doesn't even need to be theoretically infinite. A sufficiently large finite payoff is enough. The real problem, as you say, is that these theoretically large payoffs are just pulled out of thin air (or someplace less savory...). In the case of AGI, there is also the well known viewpoint that AGI will result in a huge negative payoff, as soon as the AGI realizes that it can use the atoms you are made of for something that, in its view, is more productive. AGI evangelists like the GP fail to factor that in as well. When such considerations are taken into account, the expected payoff from AGI is basically zero, even without factoring in the issue I described above.