3 ms·
Right near the top, the authors briefly mention their critical assumption: > As we have discussed elsewhere, government debt reduces economic activity by crowd
by cs702 3y ago
Right near the top, the authors briefly mention their critical assumption:
> As we have discussed elsewhere, government debt reduces economic activity by crowding out private capital formation ...
I stopped reading at that point, because many economists disagree with that assumption. To understand why, consider:
* When the US government borrows to spend on things like, say, battleships, fighter jets, satellites, AI software, etc., every dollar it spends is a dollar of revenues to a private company like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Amazon, Microsoft, Palantir, etc., which invests in its business, inducing private capital formation.
* When the US government borrows to spend on healthcare, every dollar it spends is a dollar of revenues to a private hospital, vendor, practice, or doctor, all of whom invest in technology, facilities, training, etc., inducing private capital formation.
* When the US government borrows to spend on anything, every dollar it spends is a dollar of revenues to a private entity or citizen -- who else? What matters is whether that entity or citizen invests a portion of those revenues in endeavors that induce private capital formation in the US.
Things are not as simple and clear-cut as the authors would like them to be!
- feoren 3y agoYou're ignoring interest, and to a lesser extent the effects of corruption and wealth-hoarding. When the U.S. government borrows one dollar to spend, a small amount goes outside the U.S. economy or disappears in the hundreds of billions of dollars missing from the DoD budget. The remainder is revenue for U.S. entities, some amount of which goes straight into the pockets of wealth-hoarders. Wealth-hoarders want to earn interest on this money, and buy a lot of U.S. government bonds. The government spends that money on things that go back into their pockets, and they additionally earn interest on that same money. It's a great way for the ridiculously wealthy to become the ludicrously-wealthy, but it is not nearly so good for the economy as you imply.