>>>We all understand human nature so it is easy to predict what will happen. And in this case there were many warnings ahead of time that were simply ignored.

>>>We all understand human nature so it is easy to predict what will happen. And in this case there were many warnings ahead of time that were simply ignored. We can't even predict tomorrow's weather with precision. Isn't it arrogant to think we can predict humans particularly when they behave differently when making group decisions ? Don't we have literal disasters that have happened because some people thought they could predict things (SE Asia Domino theory [1], China's Sparrow destrution [2], and many others. Worse, none of the "easy to predict" scenarios can be A/B tested, so there's zero guarantee that doing nothing, is the solution. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quagmire_theory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quagmire_theory [2] https://gizmodo.com/china-s-worst-self-inflicted-environmental-disaster-th-5927112 https://gizmodo.com/china-s-worst-self-inflicted-environment...