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No the issue is when prosecutors mix up Pr[evidence | innocence] with Pr[innocence | evidence]. It isn't correct to conclude from the former that someone is gui
by sealeck 3y ago
No the issue is when prosecutors mix up Pr[evidence | innocence] with Pr[innocence | evidence]. It isn't correct to conclude from the former that someone is guilty.
- igiveup 3y agoI believe Pr[evidence | innocence] is p-value (or maybe one minus p-value, not sure). Statisticians use this routinely to test "innocence". It does not mean probability of innocence, but it means something.
- hgomersall 3y agoYeah, it means the probability of the evidence given the person is innocent. If they use it for anything else they're using it wrongly and they shouldn't.