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I’m very skeptical of this, I think he’s slowly raising his profile for a 2028 run. He’s categorically denied over and over again that he’s interested in forci

I’m very skeptical of this, I think he’s slowly raising his profile for a 2028 run. He’s categorically denied over and over again that he’s interested in forcing Biden into a primary and I think it’s a misread to see this as anything more than a governor doing their job. He’s never left any ambiguity in his answers on this topic.

dataflow 3y ago
VP?
- LapsangGuzzler 3y ago
  That, I could see.
- HWR_14 3y ago
  No. VP-replacement speculation always happens, but the actual replacement doesn't in the modern era. Besides, there is no political way that, should the position become vacant, Biden would choose a white man to replace Harris.
  - dataflow 3y ago
    Note I meant that it might be to be able to run for VP, not that he'd necessarily win the position if he did so.
    - deleted 3y ago
      [deleted]
    - HWR_14 3y ago
      You no longer run for VP. In the modern era the presidential candidate just chooses who they want.
      - dataflow 3y ago
        By "run" I just meant that he'd appear in the set of people that might be considered (by Biden) if for any reason it turns out he wants Harris replaced.
        HWR_14 3y ago
        Then go up to my first reply. Newsom isn't going to run for a position he has a 0% chance of winning and will piss people off trying. He probably wants a cabinet position.
        dataflow 3y ago
        I guess that would make sense, but what cabinet position would he actually want (and see as a stepping stone for later)? Secretary of State?
        HWR_14 3y ago
        State would make a lot of sense.
        dataflow 3y ago
        I guess it would have the benefit of giving him exposure, and I'm not sure if there's a better cabinet position otherwise, but does being secretary of state actually help with making a case for people to like him for presidency? How much of the credit does he get if things go well vs. the blame if things go poorly?
RcouF1uZ4gsC 3y ago
> He’s categorically denied over and over again that he’s interested A politician’s denials don’t mean much. He can easily say that the the polls are showing that most Americans seeing Biden as mentally and physically unfit for President and would even vote for Trump, so he is reluctantly stepping up to save the country from Trump.
- LapsangGuzzler 3y ago
  Typically, folks who are running or thinking about running don’t directly answer questions about it. It’s also very common for inside knowledge on an exploratory committee to be leaked to the press ahead of a run. Serious candidates hire a team to strategize months before making an announcement and it never stays silent because the exploratory committee itself tends to leak in order to gauge the early reaction. We’ve seen neither of these things from Newsom.

dataflow 3y ago

VP?

LapsangGuzzler 3y ago
That, I could see.
HWR_14 3y ago
No. VP-replacement speculation always happens, but the actual replacement doesn't in the modern era. Besides, there is no political way that, should the position become vacant, Biden would choose a white man to replace Harris.
- dataflow 3y ago
  Note I meant that it might be to be able to run for VP, not that he'd necessarily win the position if he did so.
  - deleted 3y ago
    [deleted]
  - HWR_14 3y ago
    You no longer run for VP. In the modern era the presidential candidate just chooses who they want.
    - dataflow 3y ago
      By "run" I just meant that he'd appear in the set of people that might be considered (by Biden) if for any reason it turns out he wants Harris replaced.
      - HWR_14 3y ago
        Then go up to my first reply. Newsom isn't going to run for a position he has a 0% chance of winning and will piss people off trying. He probably wants a cabinet position.
        dataflow 3y ago
        I guess that would make sense, but what cabinet position would he actually want (and see as a stepping stone for later)? Secretary of State?
        HWR_14 3y ago
        State would make a lot of sense.
        dataflow 3y ago
        I guess it would have the benefit of giving him exposure, and I'm not sure if there's a better cabinet position otherwise, but does being secretary of state actually help with making a case for people to like him for presidency? How much of the credit does he get if things go well vs. the blame if things go poorly?

RcouF1uZ4gsC 3y ago

> He’s categorically denied over and over again that he’s interested A politician’s denials don’t mean much. He can easily say that the the polls are showing that most Americans seeing Biden as mentally and physically unfit for President and would even vote for Trump, so he is reluctantly stepping up to save the country from Trump.

LapsangGuzzler 3y ago
Typically, folks who are running or thinking about running don’t directly answer questions about it. It’s also very common for inside knowledge on an exploratory committee to be leaked to the press ahead of a run. Serious candidates hire a team to strategize months before making an announcement and it never stays silent because the exploratory committee itself tends to leak in order to gauge the early reaction. We’ve seen neither of these things from Newsom.