Your confidence should still drop even if someone else presented the bet, because people are more likely to offer bets that they think have positive expected va

Your confidence should still drop even if someone else presented the bet, because people are more likely to offer bets that they think have positive expected value to them. > the author presenting the bet is a signal the author previously lied about his name More generally: anyone presenting the bet is a signal that that person believes the author lied about his name.