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Kurzweil argues that in 2029, a computer will pass the Turing test. His arguments: Hardware: Moore's law. It might come to three-dimensional computing. Softwa
by albertzeyer 3y ago
Kurzweil argues that in 2029, a computer will pass the Turing test. His arguments:
Hardware: Moore's law. It might come to three-dimensional computing.
Software: Interestingly, he sees this as more difficult.
> It is correct to point out that achieving the "software" of human intelligence is the more salient, and more difficult, challenge.
Currently, if a LLM will pass the Turing test, it would actually be the case that the software is actually very simple.
Kapor's argument against that are basically that he thinks it's just too difficult to imagine:
> it becomes extremely difficult even to imagine what it would mean for a computer to perform a successful impersonation, much less to believe that its achievement is within our lifespan.