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> That is a strawman, basically nobody argues this. I mean, people do-- even smart people like Penrose.
by mlyle 3y ago
> That is a strawman, basically nobody argues this.
I mean, people do-- even smart people like Penrose.
- Jensson 3y agoBut a large majority of people who say "LLMs are nothing like humans" are not making that argument. If you look through these kind of threads on HN you see maybe one post making that argument among hundreds, that is "basically nobody" to me given how often that strawman is used against people who are skeptical about LLMs potential capabilities.
- mlyle 3y agoI don't think LLMs are going to get us to AGI on their own, but it's a massive step: an obviously more fruitful one than Deep Blue or even AlphaZero, and also obviously more useful and disruptive to society. Some people think we can't get to "real" intelligence through Turing-equivalents. Some think we can just tack a little more on an LLM and be there. It's probably something between, but the past-me who thought AGI was definitely >40 years away is much less convinced of this now. Could it happen in the next 5 years? Proooooobably not, but is there a significant chance? Yes.