3 ms·
This is observed post hoc rationalization behavior for a lot of subjects, but it's worth remembering that a lot of the kooky stuff from step 1 turns out to in f
by yetanotherloss 3y ago
This is observed post hoc rationalization behavior for a lot of subjects, but it's worth remembering that a lot of the kooky stuff from step 1 turns out to in fact be run of the mill lunacy, so there is some harsh survivorship bias.
- avgcorrection 3y agoI was using the much-maligned term “conspiracy theory”, the term used to dismiss everyone from the well-read critic to the “kooky” Lizard International Government crank, but that was just to illustrate the point about how all of these get put under the same umbrella so that they at worst can be all summarily dismissed as dummies or at sort-of best can be equivocated by way of survivorship bias. In the Year Zero (before declassified documents) it's not a bad theory that a powerful arm of one of the superpowers in a very free nation could be used for clandestine purposes since the State has a lot to gain from keeping the free men (people) of that nation from knowing about what it is really up to. Thankfully though we don't need to guess at this point since we have history to back us up.
- Gibbon1 3y agoOff hand thought an a small bit is a game of telephone. What people hear is completely mangled hearsay. Problem with intelligence agencies is no feedback to keep things same like you have when what people are doing is transparent. You don't have the assumption that sooner or later there will be an accounting. It's no one will ever know.