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My two cents is that we will see a bubble pop, but it will rebound massively much like SaaS following the dotcom crash. My primary concern is the ratio of AI-i
by sethkim 3y ago
My two cents is that we will see a bubble pop, but it will rebound massively much like SaaS following the dotcom crash.
My primary concern is the ratio of AI-infrastructure products being built relative to the average utility delta of current end-user products. There are some shining counterexamples to this like Github copilot, but for the most part the utility gain from most text-based generative-AI seems incremental.
Current language models are bad to okay at most tasks - and great at a select few. The capabilities in unstructured ETL and production of labeled datasets fall in the latter category.
I think the next generation of really powerful capabilities to be unlocked with generative-AI will come with 1) an increase in compute availability (training even larger models) 2) advances in multimodal models, and 3) better interfaces to interact with them. Spatial computing will be a really big deal here, and people seem to have forgotten that Apple may have unlocked the next version of interactive computing earlier this year.
- NBJack 3y agoI'm not convinced Apple will crack the spatial computing or VR market. I think they have a polished product, but it looks like something that will be gathering dust in a few months if I bought one, sitting right next to my Quest Pro. At least the Pro can run a few games. I strongly anticipate that, unless you have a MacBook, you won't see the full potential of Apple's offering.
- evolve2k 3y agoThere was an article shared here around launch time. The quest pro is better seen as a dev prototype than a mass market product. In my opinion the significant innovation is the design and implementation of the precision gesture control interface. I can very much see that in use a decade from now with some future devise iterations be they laptop/watch/glasses/iPad. #horselesscarriage