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I'm not sure about that. Some amount of devils-advocacy in the following but here goes: If you're learning to code now, using an LLM, who's to say that the LLM
by sanitycheck 3y ago
I'm not sure about that. Some amount of devils-advocacy in the following but here goes:
If you're learning to code now, using an LLM, who's to say that the LLMs won't improve faster than you do? In 10 years will there be a recognisable programming job for most people learning programming now? We're standing on a cliff watching the tide rise, wondering if it'll reach us. People learning programming are down in the sea, trying to climb up out of it.
Years ago taxi drivers actually needed to know their way around their local area. Then we got GPS and mapping apps, meaning Uber could exist and any random dude could be a taxi driver instantly. In future* the drivers will be unnecessary and the cars will be the drivers too. [*timeline 5-50 years]
In the early 2000s there were plenty of jobs for mediocre developers making websites for small companies. Now we've got Facebook, Squarespace & Shopify, that role is gone.
Lots of observations around here recently about how kids are less tech-savvy now, they know how to use appliances - not general purpose computers. Make stuff easy enough that anyone can do it, and nobody will know how it works.
- throwuwu 3y agoWe somehow have more programming jobs now than ever. Those kids learning programming with LLMs may not end up writing code by hand but they will still be building stuff with computers.
- civilitty 3y agoWe shouldn't take for granted that will continue for very long because it’s obviously as unsustainable as infinite economic growth in general. At some point that growth has to stop. Up till now software was mostly an arms race between competitors because of software’s low marginal cost and high utility. Now with ZIRP over and many of parts of the industry consolidating, I fear enshittification is a sign that the good times are over and we will now be milked to make up for all the profit lost the industrialists lost to the plebs.