4 ms·
I think people vastly overestimate the probability of abiogenesis and underestimate the power of various filters after that. We are naturally biased to see it a
by skulk 3y ago
I think people vastly overestimate the probability of abiogenesis and underestimate the power of various filters after that. We are naturally biased to see it as something that happens inevitably, but I think it's not a crazy idea that we are the first life to make it to the point of wondering about others. 14 billion years isn't that much compared to how long it seems things will stick around.
- az09mugen 3y agoI think humans overestimate their importance/uniqueness in the universe. History shows we first believed Earth was at the center of the universe and the sun revolving around it. Once heliocentrism was accepted, we believed it was the center of the universe, then we proved ourselves wrong again, and then the galaxy. Now we merely can see/conceptualize the bounds of the universe. Life on Earth litterally already survived a few filters. Rough estimation of the number of planets in the habitable zone in the universe is 10^20 planets. Of course not all of them have life. Maybe we're the first ones able to wonder about the others in the whole universe. Or not. Impossible to tell.