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You are right, but doing the kind of work proposed in the essay is how it very slowly becomes better understood and more predictive. Obviously there won't ever
by MostlyStable 3y ago
You are right, but doing the kind of work proposed in the essay is how it very slowly becomes better understood and more predictive. Obviously there won't ever be the one breakthrough that solves everything, and it's most likely that the vast majority of such attempts fail, but just throwing up our hands and saying "that's just how it works!" is how you guarantee it never changes. And this is coming from someone who works in an perhaps an even less predictive and more empirical field.
- gumby 3y agoAre you implying that people haven’t been and aren’t working hard to make it more predictive? This essay gives the impression that the author has just dipped their toe into the field. Everybody has to start somewhere but it helps to have some depth of understanding before proclaiming others as idiots (seems to be a common passtime of startups these days). When I got into pharma I could easily see a dozen obvious ways to speed things up and/or add therapeutic value. Fortunately I kept my mouth shut and learned that all but one had been tried. That one that made us unique was more of a social practice.
- MostlyStable 3y agoI am implying nothing. I don't work in the field, and, as you say, have no idea what is or isn't being done. If, as you suggest, the kind of work being suggested by the author is being worked on, that probably would have been a more useful comment than the one you made, which didn't imply anything of the sort and seemed pretty defeatist and just "that's the way it is", which is what prompted my reply.