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Failed in what sense? Completely off, or close enough (like weather forecasting)? Is it possible a school district couldn't afford the best services? Or that t
by losteric 3y ago
Failed in what sense? Completely off, or close enough (like weather forecasting)?
Is it possible a school district couldn't afford the best services? Or that their goal wasn't necessarily the population number but rather an analyst of the causative forces and directional trends?
- hnburnsy 3y agoExcellent points, since school funding is student count dependent it was critical for it to be close. They mostly predicted increases but year after year it was flat or when decreasing. Maybe politics were involved, and like I said my comment probably isnt fair.
- losteric 3y agoYeah, "failing" for 15 years is a pretty good indication that those demographers are actually succeeding at what their employer wants... :) someone in the system is probably paying for data that shows growth to protect their interests (eg coverying up insolvency of teacher pensions or justifying municipal debt/bonds)