4 ms·

The world as a whole has a positive birth rate. The number of arbitrary land sections with negative or positive birth rates is quite irrelevant.

OrvalWintermute 3y ago
This is incorrect. 2.2 per woman is replacement rate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility#/media/File:Total_Fertility_Rate_Map_by_Country.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility#/med... Most of Africa is replacing their population but they have a higher death rate than many other places. Everywhere else in the aggregate is negative with a few exceptions.
- slaw 3y ago
  > According to World Bank data, the global fertility rate was 2.4 children per woman in 2019. https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/total-fertility-rate https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/total-fer...
  - OrvalWintermute 3y ago
    you're mixing apples and oranges. Replacement rate in a country with a good health system where people average longer life expectancies is 2.2 births per woman. Replacement rate needs be much higher than 2.2 in a country with high infant mortality, long wars, etc, such as exists in much of Africa, where birth rates are the highest.
    - slaw 3y ago
      > As of 2020, 47 children under the age of one died for every 1,000 live births https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/04/infant-mortality-africa-safer-future/ https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/04/infant-mortality-afri...
      - OrvalWintermute 3y ago
        That is pretty horrible. For comparison purposes...... Top 10 Countries with the Lowest Infant Mortality Rate (UNICEF 2020 - deaths per 1,000 live births): Iceland — 1.54 San Marino — 1.56 Estonia — 1.65 Slovenia — 1.76 Norway — 1.79 Japan — 1.82 Singapore — 1.85 Finland — 1.88 Montenegro — 1.95 Sweden — 2.15 https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/infant-mortality-rate-by-country https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/infant-mo...
        slaw 3y ago
        How does your comment relate to global replacement rate?

OrvalWintermute 3y ago

This is incorrect. 2.2 per woman is replacement rate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility#/media/File:Total_Fertility_Rate_Map_by_Country.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility#/med... Most of Africa is replacing their population but they have a higher death rate than many other places. Everywhere else in the aggregate is negative with a few exceptions.

slaw 3y ago
> According to World Bank data, the global fertility rate was 2.4 children per woman in 2019. https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/total-fertility-rate https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/total-fer...
- OrvalWintermute 3y ago
  you're mixing apples and oranges. Replacement rate in a country with a good health system where people average longer life expectancies is 2.2 births per woman. Replacement rate needs be much higher than 2.2 in a country with high infant mortality, long wars, etc, such as exists in much of Africa, where birth rates are the highest.
  - slaw 3y ago
    > As of 2020, 47 children under the age of one died for every 1,000 live births https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/04/infant-mortality-africa-safer-future/ https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/04/infant-mortality-afri...
    - OrvalWintermute 3y ago
      That is pretty horrible. For comparison purposes...... Top 10 Countries with the Lowest Infant Mortality Rate (UNICEF 2020 - deaths per 1,000 live births): Iceland — 1.54 San Marino — 1.56 Estonia — 1.65 Slovenia — 1.76 Norway — 1.79 Japan — 1.82 Singapore — 1.85 Finland — 1.88 Montenegro — 1.95 Sweden — 2.15 https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/infant-mortality-rate-by-country https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/infant-mo...
      - slaw 3y ago
        How does your comment relate to global replacement rate?