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Do significant digits matter in these sort of probability calculations? Secondly, do we want doctors to tell us the probablility estimate that we have cancer o
by kirse 18y ago
Do significant digits matter in these sort of probability calculations?
Secondly, do we want doctors to tell us the probablility estimate that we have cancer or do we want doctors to tell us Yes or No?
Personally, I don't care what my probability score is if the answer is "No". Even if the answer was "Yes", an optimistic person would ignore the odds anyway.
- gjm11 18y agoYes, I want the probability estimate, because I want the best information available in that sort of situation. And the word for someone who ignores the odds is not "optimistic" but "foolish", unless the answer makes no difference to your behaviour. (Which is pretty unlikely in the case of cancer.)