4 ms·
If the rate of improvement continues at the current pace - which is GPT 1 to 2 to 3 to 4 in the last five years - we are just one or two improvements away from
by p1esk 3y ago
If the rate of improvement continues at the current pace - which is GPT 1 to 2 to 3 to 4 in the last five years - we are just one or two improvements away from a full blown AGI/superintelligence/singularity/etc. At that point, a superior user interface is probably the least interesting (or scary) thing that would happen.
I personally doubt GPT-5 will be as much of an improvement over GPT-4 as GPT-4 was over GPT-3, but that's fine, I can wait until GPT-6 or 7.
- DrJaws 3y agochat-gpt at the end is a language model, not an real AI, it have limits and are huge
- p1esk 3y agoreal AI Thanks for the laugh, I needed that.
- gnaritas99 3y ago[dead]
- blovescoffee 3y agoWhat do you even mean by real AI? Some of the top AI researchers in the world work on chat gpt
- moffkalast 3y agoIt does make one wonder how it'll all play out in the coming decades. One way or another humans will eventually be unemployable for most of currently existing jobs. Throughout history, the ruling elite had always relied on the rest of the population to make their food, do their work, and fight in their wars. This is the first time ever that they will no longer have any need for anyone else. Maybe climate change will conveniently do the culling for them... Of course there's always that option that we end up in a post scarcity space utopia where machine produced wealth is distributed to all, but only deluded idealists can possibly still think that'll ever be a real option as we slink further into techno feudalism with every passing day.
- p1esk 3y agoWith full automation, and using renewable energy, it will be very cheap to feed and house the peasants. I'm guessing it will become mainly about entertaining, so most will move into VR worlds, first through headsets, then BCI, and eventually uploading.
- moffkalast 3y agoAh yes the Ready Player One option. I suppose it's not entirely unlikely, part of the fun of being in charge is being able to boss around the peasants after all. I doubt BCI will ever make sense, on a conceptual level it's still just copying and killing your biological self. AGI will likely solve aging way before that becomes viable.
- jes5199 3y agoI think you’re assuming a lot about the nature of intelligence. GPT is growing fast, but we have no real idea how big/deep the gap is between it and the human mind