First of all, you're off by an order of magnitude. Second, I don't think it will be that long. There are already LLMs as good as GPT-3 running on average lapto

First of all, you're off by an order of magnitude. Second, I don't think it will be that long. There are already LLMs as good as GPT-3 running on average laptops and even phones. In the next couple of years, you'll see: - Ordinary PCs, tablets, and phones with dedicated AI chips, like TPUs - they'll be more tuned specifically for LLMs - Mathematical and algorithmic optimizations will make existing LLMs faster on the same hardware - Newer generations of LLMs will get even more useful with fewer parameters The combination of all of these means that it's not at all unreasonable to expect that today's top-of-the-line LLM will be running locally on your device within just a couple of years. Of course, LLMs in the cloud will advance even further, so there will always be a tradeoff, and there will always be demand for cloud AI, depending on the application.