3 ms·
What are your sources for this?
by LeafItAlone 3y ago
What are your sources for this?
- dilyevsky 3y agoThis paper[0] suggests 94% at the end of 2022. At this point it’s probably closer to a 100%. Technically it’s “at least once” though not “multiple times”. Other papers only cite 25-50% asymptomatic cases since Omicron so not quite 90% but still quite high [0] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.19.22282525v3 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.19.22282525v...
- LeafItAlone 3y agoThanks for sharing. I’m admittedly very bad at reading papers like this, but I can’t determine how they are getting to that figure. I’ve never tested positive, despite having been repeatedly tested (at home and PCR), due to the nature of my situation. I do believe, though, that I have probably had it, even if the tests never showed it, because how could I not have?
- dilyevsky 3y agoThey modeled it mathematically using something called “Bayesian evidence synthesis”. It’s a popular method assessing disease rates, war casualties, etc when there’s limited “hard data” available