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There is clearly a plateau in how good a ux can be. It might be a local optimum but still you solve the task the user wants. I don't see a clear ceiling in inte
by satellite2 3y ago
There is clearly a plateau in how good a ux can be. It might be a local optimum but still you solve the task the user wants. I don't see a clear ceiling in intelligence. And if the ceiling is how much of the human tasks can be replaced then I think when we reach it the world is going to look very different from now. (Let's also not discount how much the world changed since the introduction of the smartphone.)
- chimprich 3y ago> I don't see a clear ceiling in intelligence The plateau in this case is presumably how far you can advance intelligence from the current model architectures. There seems to be diminishing returns from throwing more layers, parameters or training data at these things. We will see improvements but for dramatic increases I think we'll need new breakthroughs. New inventions are hard to predict, pretty much by definition.
- tombert 3y agoThat's more or less what I was getting at; the cool new GANN and LLM models have a certain set of problems that they will solve exceptionally well, and then another set of problems that they will solve "pretty well", but I don't think they'll solve every problem.