No, it’s not the birthday paradox. This was a bet that expired nearly immediately after it was placed. This wasn’t someone who decided “I’ll invest in splunk to

No, it’s not the birthday paradox. This was a bet that expired nearly immediately after it was placed. This wasn’t someone who decided “I’ll invest in splunk today”. It was “I’ll bet that splunk stock appreciates significantly by the end of the week, far outside it’s normal variance, else I lose everything I bet.”