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I appreciate your responses. I did scan West's article and found it actually not convincing. As I understand it he argues that because an old forest breakeven

• whimsicalism 3y ago
  e: Oh I see, you were talking about the California article I linked, which is by a different author. That said, I think the section you are discussing is just about potential flaws in the causal model and why they think it is unlikely, not their primary reasoning. Maybe a different article, the one I am talking about conducted a causal estimate of the carbon averted using synthetic controls, not at all the argument that you are stating [0]. Again, all of this debate would be easy to end with a controlled trial that non-profits like Verra will never do because of what they would reveal. Do you work in this industry? I am curious if this is a case of 'It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it.' [0]: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.03354.pdf https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.03354.pdf
  • boringg 3y ago
    >> Again, all of this debate would be easy to end with a controlled trial that non-profits like Verra will never do because of what they would reveal. I think most debates could be ended with a scientific experiment - likely never going to happen due to the inconvenience of it. And no I don't work in the industry but I find that people paint the whole industry with one color - which I find disingenuous. Or they have an opinion based one article in the news which provide a very obtuse perspective.