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Actually it is likely our civilization will collapse over the next few to at most a dozen years. This was the hottest year ever, South America hit over 100 degr
by Projectiboga 3y ago
Actually it is likely our civilization will collapse over the next few to at most a dozen years. This was the hottest year ever, South America hit over 100 degrees during their winter recently. The sun cycle is just getting to its hot phase now in September. Next year will make this year look like a fond memory. The release of civilization ending methane hydrates from the arctic ocean is already underway and is about to commence a rapid acceleration next summer or the one after during this upcoming El Nino hot cycle. The flip to a new climate system happens over only about a dozen years over the last millions of years. We are now deep into this catastrophic cycle. https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/ https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/ The things that will get us are the fact that arctic cold snaps aren't kept up north anymore, so a risk is a cold snap in May, early June wiping out summer crops. Second risk is dangerous combination of heat and humidity will hit. The issue is that while we still have ice cover we have some extra reflectivity and it takes lots of energy to melt ice the last degree, compared to moving water up any degrees further, so the Arctic ice has provided a buffer, and now it is mostly gone, there isn't old ice any more just a thin recent coat on the arctic ocean. https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/how-is-climate-change-driving-dangerous-wet-bulb-temperatures-2023-08-09/ https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/how-is-climate-... And big oil and knowledgeable scientists knew this would be an issue back in the 50s, 60s, and 70s. Exxon went all in to fund confusing misinformation starting in the 1970s.
- SamPatt 3y agoAfter a dozen years, if most measures of living standards have continued increasing as they have for the last few centuries, what conclusion will you draw from that? I ask because I recall hearing these exact catastrophic arguments (methane hydrates, changes in albedo) more than a dozen years ago.
- polotics 3y agoThis Arctic-News site is very interesting: the alarmism in there, with statements for example that the earth could become uninhabitable already in 2026, seem to me like perfect future fodder for continued climate-change denialism as soon as, well, 2026. Luckily the style of display and a few slips in the pseudo-scientific wordage of the presentation kind of spills the beans for the awake reader.
- Projectiboga 3y agoIt was written by a climate professor, the situation is dire, and it won't just be the weather will be a little warmer.
- polotics 3y agoI know that the situation is dire. But mark my words, no matter how many of the direst predictions become true by 2026, someone is sure to find one or several corners of the world where the prediction does not quite match, and they will then turn it around and state the very untrue: "all climate alarmism is lies! see, look at this website!". It is very hard to get the general public to understand that if you cannot predict precisely the bad thing that will happen, then you are not in a position to propose actions to prevent what you can still estimate will certainly be bad. in most people's experience, a bit if complacency is reasonable, things usually work out not as bad as you'd expect. Worst of all, this complacency can I think be directly traced back to the comfort and easy-does-it outcomes afforded by one century of cheap-as-hell usable and plentiful liquid oil energy :-G