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As nice as it would be to have a less gerontocratic government, here's why I don't see that happening in the next century. 1) The share of the population over
by syndicatedjelly 3y ago
As nice as it would be to have a less gerontocratic government, here's why I don't see that happening in the next century.
1) The share of the population over the age of 80 recently surpassed 10% in Japan. Japan is basically on the bleeding edge of population dynamics, and we can expect to see the same demographic changes coming to the US, China, and most of Europe fairly soon. India and parts of Southeast Asian are an exception (at the moment). It remains to be seen if they can take advantage of their young workforce by educating them properly and making sure opportunities are available.
2) Millenials in the US are the largest generation by population ever, and are having the fewest children of any generation ever. As they age, they will represent a growing plurality of the society.
3) This current trend of "we have too many old people in government" is really code for "the people in government don't represent my views", which is largely a generational opinion. As millenials age into the system, the government will start to more closely reflect their world views. So less and less will be done over time to "correct" this perceived defect in government.
4) Medical research and government policy remains focused on extending life, and less so on improving the quality of existing life. People will live longer and spend a longer period time in a deteriorated state, kept alive by medical "advances" and government policy that encourages extending life over all else. More and more money will be needed to take care of people in these advanced states, draining resources from the rest of the society. It's already happening - see the Social Security and Medicare debacle in America.
Not the most organized set of thoughts but I really think the decline in population growth (and eventual plateau at the end of the century) is going to have widespread impacts across all of society. Strangely enough, the representation in American government today is ahead of its time in that it is probably representative (age-wise) of what the population will actually look like in 100 years.
- 20after4 3y agoI doubt there will be any population in 100 years.
- devmor 3y ago>This current trend of "we have too many old people in government" is really code for "the people in government don't represent my views", which is largely a generational opinion. That is not "code", its a consequence. Generational divides include divides in culture, education and understanding of the world. If one generation disproportionately controls the government, of course they will not represent the views of any other generation currently living. No one is trying to hide this or pretend it isn't the case.
- CapstanRoller 3y ago>As millenials age into the system, the government will start to more closely reflect their world views. By what mechanism? The reason those in government fail to represent the views of their constituents is due to class warfare and wealth. Millennials are already reaching 40, yet the wealth of the Millennial generation is a tiny fraction of what Baby Boomers had in their 20s. To put it bluntly: it's too damn late! It's not that those in power are simply out of touch, it's that they intentionally pulled the ladder up behind them. So far the USA has robbed 3 generations in order to feed the capitalist class, and Boomers cheered it on because they also reap the rewards of this large-scale sacrifice. Moloch smiles on the Baby Boomer generation. https://arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.com/public/ZQ2CUAWWCJD3XHI4B6PDJIURN4.png https://arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.c...